Chad - Food Security Outlook Update : Refugee impacts are driving income and consumption toward Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!), April - September 2026

Countries: Chad, Sudan Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes are expected in the eastern departments with high concentrations of refugees (Ouaddaï, Sila, Wadi Fira, Ennedi-Est) through September 2026. Refugees depend on markets, but are facing food consumption deficits due to limited income-generating activities and atypically high prices for imported food commodities. Access to food assistance is mitigating these deficits, but a small proportion of households, fewer than 15 percent, risk deteriorating into Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Ongoing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in Lac Province (Fouli and Kaya) are expected to persist through September. Persistent insecurity and continued displacement in Lac are limiting access to livelihoods for displaced and poor host households. During the peak of the lean season (June-August) in North Kanem and North Barh El-Gazel (BEG), food access for poor households is expected to deteriorate, resulting in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) . Households will face the combined effects of increased market dependence, sustained food price increases, and seasonal declines in income. In most provinces of the central and Sudanian zones, poor households are expected to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through September 2026. Food stocks are being depleted rapidly, and incomes are insufficient to cover essential non-food needs. However, households will maintain minimally adequate food consumption through in-kind payments from agricultural labor. The government estimates that the conflict in the Middle East poses limited risks to food supply in Chad. However, the oil price shock , in a context where fuel prices are already high (2,000 FCFA per liter of gasoline in some eastern localit...

Original source: Relief Web