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Niger - Food Security Outlook Update : Insecurity continues to deteriorate in Tillabéry, Diffa, Tahoua, and Dosso regions, April - September 2026

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Country: Niger Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes will likely persist in the regions of Tillabéry and Diffa, as well as in the northwestern part of Tahoua Region, from April through September 2026. Conflict continues to cause population displacement and disrupt livelihoods and markets. Prices exceeding the purchasing capacity of displaced populations and poor host households are resulting in limited market access, and households are reducing meals to one or two per day due to lack of food stocks. The number of households in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected to increase from June to September 2026, and around 5 percent could deteriorate into Emergency (IPC Phase 4) under the combined effects of conflict and flooding. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected in agricultural, agropastoral, and pastoral areas not affected by conflict from May through September 2026. Poor households’ purchasing power is only sufficient to cover food expenditures, while food stocks are being depleted and households increasingly depend on markets characterized by very high food prices. Small groups of poor households with more severe food deficits are expected to deteriorate into Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes between June and September. Their limited purchasing power will only allow them to obtain very small quantities of food. The medium-term impacts of the conflict in the Middle East, driven by rising maritime freight costs and higher global oil prices, are expected to increase the prices of imported products and fertilizers. However, in the short term, market prices have not yet been disrupted by the conflict. Niger’s status as an oil-producing country and the diversity of supply sources for imported goods are h...