World: Locust Watch: Seasonal precipitation predictions in the Desert Locust spring, summer and winter breeding areas (June–November 2026) (21 May 2026)

Countries: World, Algeria, Chad, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, India, Iran (Islamic Republic of), Libya, Mali, Mauritania, Morocco, Niger, Oman, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Tunisia, Yemen Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Please refer to the attached file. The models indicate that the transition into El Niño conditions is progressing as expected, with this event likely to become one of the strongest on record. These conditions, together with a developing positive Indian Ocean Dipole, are expected to result in drier‑than‑normal conditions across the Horn of Africa, the southern Arabian Peninsula, Pakistan and India during the three coming months. Below‑normal rainfall is also forecast across the northern Sahel from Senegal to the Red Sea, while above‑normal rainfall is expected in northwestern Africa. From September onwards, the positive Indian Ocean Dipole is likely to favour above‑normal rainfall in East Africa during the autumn. Gregarious spring breeding will continue in Morocco and may extend into Algeria. Summer breeding may occur in atypical areas in the Western Region, increasing the risk of outbreaks from September onwards.

Original source: Relief Web