ACAPS Sudan Risk Analysis [2026] (Thematic Report 13 May 2026)

Country: Sudan Source: ACAPS Please refer to the attached file. ABOUT THIS REPORT Aim and scope This report outlines seven risks of emerging or deteriorating humanitarian conditions in Sudan between June–December 2026. The risk analysis aims to support humanitarian decision makers in anticipating potential escalations in humanitarian needs, displacement, humanitarian access constraints, and service disruptions to inform proactive preparedness and response planning. These seven risks were selected based on their relevance to humanitarian decisionmaking. They were identified based on emerging triggers, conflict and political developments, and deteriorating trends likely to worsen humanitarian outcomes over the next six months. Data collection, triangulation, and validation ACAPS used a combination of secondary data review, joint analysis, and targeted external consultation to identify risks and assess their probability and potential humanitarian impact through trends analysis, precedent analysis, and the triangulation of operational and contextual information. • Secondary data review: the ACAPS team reviewed publicly available data and information to identify emerging developments, escalating trends, and deteriorating conditions likely to heighten humanitarian needs, including displacement, humanitarian access constraints, service disruptions, and food insecurity. The review included reports, datasets, and knowledge products from humanitarian organisations, research institutions, and media sources covering Sudan. • Key informant interviews (KIIs) and external reviews: ACAPS conducted a limited number of KIIs and external reviews with operational responders working in humanitarian INGOs and NNGOs in Sudan. These consultations were used as a supplementary input to gather insights, collate...

Original source: Relief Web