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Research Terms of Reference: Household Economic Capacity Assessment 2026 – Republic of Moldova MDA2601 (April 2026, V 1)

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Countries: Moldova, Ukraine Source: REACH Initiative Please refer to the attached file. 2. Rationale Over four years have elapsed since the escalation of hostilities in Ukraine in February 2022, leading to prolonged displacement and a sustained humanitarian crisis. As of 16 January 2026, more than 5.8 million refugees from Ukraine have been recorded globally.3 As of 26 January 2026, 87,888 refugees had been granted temporary protection, including 20,039 minors.4 However, while there is no definitive information on the number of Ukrainian refugees currently residing in Moldova, identification exercises place estimates at significantly lower figures.5 As the crisis has become increasingly protracted, humanitarian efforts in Moldova have gradually shifted toward a development-oriented approach, expanding beyond immediate relief to include long-term and sustainable solutions that promote refugee self-reliance, social and economic integration, and access to essential services such as education, healthcare, and employment opportunities. To operationalise this development-oriented approach, the Government of the Republic of Moldova introduced Temporary Protection (TP) on 1 March 2023.6 This special legal status provides displaced Ukrainians and eligible third-country nationals with immediate legal recognition and access to employment, social assistance, and primary and emergency healthcare.7 TP was initially valid until 1 March 2024 and has since been extended twice, with each extension automatically adding one year, first to 1 March 2025 and then to 1 March 2026. For the upcoming extension to 1 March 2027, the Government of the Republic of Moldova has introduced a revised procedure.8 Unlike previous automatic extensions, current beneficiaries are required to submit an online application via t...