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Cameroon: Key Message Update Poor harvest prospects will keep households in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in conflict areas, May - September 2026

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Country: Cameroon Source: Famine Early Warning System Network Please refer to the attached file. Key Messages Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist through September across Logone-et-Chari, Mayo-Sava, and Mayo-Tsanaga divisions in the Far North. Ongoing insecurity and recurrent Islamist violence continue to disrupt household participation in main season agricultural land preparation. Income from off-season crop sales and agricultural labor is expected to remain below average and, combined with rising lean season food prices, will further erode household purchasing capacity and limit access to staple foods. The number of households facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes is expected to increase during the June-August lean season, with a small proportion of households, particularly those with severely depleted coping capacity, likely to face Emergency (IPC Phase 4). Seasonal flooding beginning in July will likely exacerbate displacement through at least October, further isolating conflict-affected households from food and income sources. Given below-average harvest prospects, gains from the main season are likely to be limited, preventing meaningful improvements in food security outcomes. In the Northwest and Southwest regions, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected through June, with additional households deteriorating to Emergency (IPC Phase 4), followed by some improvements to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through September. The June green harvest of maize, beans, potatoes, legumes, and vegetables will provide relief from lean season pressures for cultivating households, but many will remain reliant on market purchases at above-average prices through June. Beginning in July, improved access to own production and crop income is expected to strengthen household food consumption and su...